The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. The Buffalo Bills are coming off their first conference championship game appearance since 1993 while the Cleveland Browns won their first playoff game since 1995. Pittsburgh was just 7-5 through 12 games. 2007 Giants, 2007 Patriots, 2006 Colts, or the 2009 Saints, with a 25th overall defense, could say they were all the worst defensive teams to win a As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. This Bills team should have won a Super Bowl and it is hard to believe looking back. Obviously a dramatic ending helps, but that doesnt alway mean a great game. Arizona Cardinals +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Yes, they got older with J.J. Watt and A.J. Cleveland hasn't been in a position to win a Super Bowl since Bernie Kosar led the franchise to consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances in the mid-1980s. worst Super Bowl Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. worst Kirk Cousins may not be elite, but he's a pretty good quarterback. In a 17-game slate, the division matters that much less compared to strength of schedule. Minnesota Vikings +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total), I want to like Minnesota as a buy-low team after rebuilding its defense.. At 10-4-1, this Broncos team was better balanced than the '86 team. The Chargers got the last of the three talented quarterbacks from the 2020 draft class, and possibly the best in Justin Herbert -- the reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Listen below and follow the Pick Six podcast for a daily dose of everything you need to follow pro football. US residents can opt out of "sales" of personal data. Bart Starr won MVP with only 13 completions. The Doomsday Defense vs. the Orange Crush ended up being a forgettable, one-sided affair. A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. A 142 season, and the best offense in the league led by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, Torry Holt, and Isaac Bruce. Peyton Mannings struggles reinforced the notion that he could be great in the regular season but collapsed in the playoffs. The 1970s Steelers gave us one last entertaining Super Bowl before its dynasty ended. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. New York didnt want Buffalos explosive offense on the field, so it grinded out the clock on the ground and ended up winning the time of possession battle by about 20 minutes. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. If the Kansas City Chiefs didn't have a generational quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and a Hall of Fame head coach in Andy Reid, the Bills would have reached their first Super Bowl in 27 years. Unsung, their defense only allowed 17.1 points per game. They have a new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator, and rookie QB.. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing Mahomes becomes the first quarterback to win the regular-season NFL most-valuable-player award and the Super Bowl in the same season in 23 years. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. New York had to scrap its way to the Super Bowl. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. They faced perfection, so how can you be harsh when talking about them? The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. And the NFC South doesn't have any other teams ranked in FPI's top 10. The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. Just when the Falcons appeared to have a team set to contend for a playoff berth in 2021, Atlanta traded Julio Jonesto the Titans for draft picks. The Dolphins capped off the only perfect season ever, despite Garo Yepremian give us an all-time blooper. Kansas City Chiefs +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total), Its really hard to get to the Super Bowl. Id say so, yes.. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. W. 23-20. Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. But itll face Justin Herbert, Josh Allen, Matt Ryan, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers before Halloween. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. The least memorable of the Giants four Super Bowl wins also happened to be their most dominant. Both teams have two of the most talented rosters in the league and look to make an even deeper playoff run -- finally attempting to end title droughts that have lasted more than a half-century. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. He had a gambling podcast for FOX, "Coming Up Winners," in 2018 and 2019. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. ELEVEN! They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. Peyton Manning winning his second ring bumps this one up a few spots. The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. Brett Favre was brilliant in his only Super Bowl win. It was never even close as the Seahawks dominated from the opening snap. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. The Philadelphia Eagles were the most recent team to leave the "never won a Super Bowl" club, but the league only has three first-time Super Bowl winners since the start of the 2009 season. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. Now the Colts will need to stay afloat while he recovers from foot surgery, which likely will cause him to miss the beginning of the season. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Their win total is 8.5, yet Mike Tomlin has never finished under .500 as coach of the Steelers. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. A really strong offense, but their defense hurt their overall grade since there were less teams in the league. Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. ), or the second-half Seahawks (only topped 30 points once in the final seven games, and it was vs the hapless Jets)?, Seattle has lost three of its past four playoff games and not made the NFC title game since 2014., 11. NFL fans would have to get used that kind of ending. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. Theyre basically the 2020 Patriots, who lost a Hall of Fame QB, had a ton of opt-outs defensively (the Saints lost five key contributors to free agency), and have no receivers (given the Michael Thomas surgery). Buffalo is in position to make another deep playoff run this season. Again, FPI doesn't think the division is much-improved. They also secured the first ring in franchise history. Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. Yeah, this one wasnt compelling for neutral viewers. One yard away from not even being on this list, the 133 Titans were solid. Baltimore is well balanced, with a projected offense and defense (and special teams!) TEAM DATE ROUND TM OPP RESULT W TD 1DWN OFF OPP OFF 3DWN% 4DWN% Los Angeles Rams: 2/13/2022: Super Bowl: LAR @ CIN. 32. If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. If not for the dramatic ending, this game may have finished last on this list. And Chicago finds itself with eight games against FPI's top 10 teams: at Rams, at Browns, at Bucs, vs. 49ers, vs. Ravens, at Seahawks and then a home-and-home with the Packers. Both Cowboys-Bills Super Bowl were blowouts, but this one was at least competitive into the third quarter. Seattle Seahawks +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Will we see the first-half Seahawks (6-1, 34 points per game! worst It seems odd to think of Terry Bradshaw as a problem, but in 1974 he took over for Joe Gilliam. Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. OK, so this game was never in doubt, this was Bill Walshs 49ers dynasty at its apex. Will head coach Zac Taylor actually commit to the run and take the pressure off of Burrow? ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. 14. John Elway finally won his ring in a well-played game that featured one of the best performances by a running back in Super Bowl history. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the A year before perfection. 3) Only one of their final seven opponents has a season win total under 8.5. 4. 20. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. Matt Rhule is a coach whose stock Im buying low.. Indianapolis Colts +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Preseason surgery to Carson Wentz and Quentin Nelson could put the Colts down for the count before the calendar turns to October.. But they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFC (nine games against playoff teams from 2020), including a stretch that goes: at Baltimore, at Chargers, home vs Aaron Rodgers, at the 49ers. Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. Here is a quarterback guru who never could quite develop a quarterback as a head coach. Who is the worst defense to win ONCE. So, which teams have won it all, but look inferior to their championship brethren in retrospect? 55) Super Bowl XLVIII (2013) The 2013 Seahawks were able to take advantage of this game to solidify themselves as an all-time NFL defense. In 2017, McIntyre began producing gambling content on the NFL, college football and NBA for FOX Sports. A 142 record with the seventh best defense in points scored against in the league. Super Bowl MVP Pick. Houston would be much higher on this list if Deshaun Watson's future with the team wasn't uncertain. I'll take my chances on a 1-in-15 shot that the Niners put all the pieces back together and raise the Lombardi in February. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. Well, they blew their lead in the big game, but they also weren't a great defensive team. This game mightve been higher on the list if the Jets hadnt pulled off the AFL-NFL upset the prior season. All Rights Reserved. Michael Strahan and Keith Hamilton combined for 19.5 sacks, and the team had 44 total. Buffalo Bill's in 1992 super bowl against Dalls Cowboys have up 52 points to there offense managed 17pts (How about them cowboys.) that's pretty ba The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. The model gains confidence because of all of the returning starters from an already good unit. That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. Los Angeles was a heavy underdog but actually took a lead into the fourth quarter. An 11-win season leaning on the talent of John Elway and the defense's ability to hold teams to under three touchdowns. Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. They played in plenty of close games, and Steve McNair and Eddie George were superb. The Super Bowl has been around 55 years, yet more than a third of the league has never hoisted a Vince Lombardi Trophy. A special season in Tennessee could be in store. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting The "Greatest Show On Turf" was the potential dynasty derailed by New England Patriots. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. They stole all-pro center Corey Linsley from the Packers and drafted Rashawn Slater in the first round.. The eventual champion Colts committed seven, count them, seven turnovers. There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good. NFL season projections 2021: Win-loss records, playoff and Super We cant put a Super Bowl featuring Rex Grossman too high on the list, but Peyton Manning winning his first ring salvages this one. Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. Sam Darnold cannot go from worst QB in the NFL (by some metrics) to winning the Super Bowl in twelve months. This post originally ran in January 2018. The first five weeks of Indianapolis' schedule are rough, as the Colts host the Seahawks and Rams before hitting the road to face the Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. A better offensive line will help Cousins out immensely, especially with playmakers like Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielenand Irv Smith. A 124 record and a solid defense? There's enough depth to get by. But the rest of the roster is important, too. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). Green Bay looked as if it would blow the Steelers out but Ben Roethlisberger led a rally that cut the lead from 18 to three before Mason Crosby put the game away with a field goal. FPI is working under the assumption that Deshaun Watson will not play for the Texans this season. Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. We've been projecting preseason chances to get the top draft picks only since 2018, but no team has entered the year more likely to walk away from the No. That's ridiculous. With quarterback Dak Prescott back and the possibility of an offensive line returned to full strength, the Cowboys are the division favorites with a 45% shot to win it. This Super Bowl had it all: An underdog story (Nick Foles), a memorable play (Philly Special), a controversial coaching decision (Belichick benching Malcolm Butler), a ton of points (a record 74 points combined!) It has to be the 2016 Atlanta Falcons. Up 28-3 at the end of the third quarter, they couldn't hold off the Patriots in the biggest game of the year A smart strategy? Top draft picks Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr. should help, but did Buffalo do enough to shore up the biggest hole on its roster? The first half ended with James Harrisons lung-busting interception return. And we'll start with the Chiefs: More: The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021. When Indianapolis traded for Wentz, the organization bet on a bounce-back year from the former Eagles quarterback. Those first three are the Broncos' first three games of the season, an easy slate right off the bat. Aaron Rodgers hasnt been back since 2011., The Chiefs have gone to two straight. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft, with a 15% chance, followed by the Jets (10%), Jaguars (8%) and Eagles (7%). In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. One could argue the Steelers have the worst QB in the division in 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger, who had 10 interceptions in the teams final seven games. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Superbowl, but they didnt score many touch As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2021: Edge | Interior DL | LB Baltimore Ravens +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total), The best team in the rugged AFC North, but the least talked about. (Hey, at least it worked out for them with Trevor Lawrence being available.). I have multiple tickets on the Jags - win the division, wins over, win the Super Bowl. 27. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). Forget about Super Bowl history, this was one of the best games in the history of American sports. Every NFL team's 2021 Super Bowl odds, ranked from worst to worst Super Houston Texans +20000 (bet $10 to win $2010 total), Lowest win total on the board, uncertainty at QB, and a defense that cant stop a nose bleed.. Reggie White was downright unblockable. It remains the worst run defense in NFL history. Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks all rank in the top half of the most difficult schedules. This time, he didnt need a miracle catch to beat New England thanks to his sublime pass to Mario Manningham on the game-winning drive. With Aaron Rodgers' future in limbo, the Vikings could be primed to win the NFC North. The agony of defeat. The best chance they had and they were wide right. Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley was awarded that honor (one that he refused to accept). Even if Kevin Dyson had pulled a Michael Jordan in Space Jam and reached the ball over the goal line, the game would have gone to overtime. Were on a run of blowouts now. Trent Dilfer. Wait, Dilfer isn't iconic. Las Vegas Raiders +6600 (bet $10 to win $670 total), One of the most dysfunctional teams in the league, the Raiders once again scream "stay away. Unfortunately, they lost both starting tackles for the Super Bowl and could not stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beast-mode pass rush. Philadelphia Eagles +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. However, like most teams on this list, the Steelers had one glaring deficiency: the passing game. In one of our 20,000 sims, the Eagles took the crown at 5-11-1. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Worst Team Defense To Win A Super Bowl | StatMuse The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. Jalen Hurts will not pull a Kurt Warner this year and lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl.. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough.
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