53), Reid Detmers (No. 65), Brice Turang (No. In the past two years, unheralded prospects Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia, Chas McCormick and Jake Meyers have made significant contributions. 3. 69), DL Hall (No. Frelick, Wiemer (more of a slugging type) and Garrett Mitchell sit as three of the top four talents in the Brewers pipeline, and with all three headed for the middle levels in 2022, it isnt difficult to envision them occupying the three outfield spots of American Family Field in the years to come. Puk is ready to follow them and make a major contribution in Oakland this year, with younger talent like 2020 first-rounder Tyler Soderstrom and 2019 international signee Robert Puason hoping to lead the next wave. 73), Brayan Rocchio (No. Younger = more range of outcomes = higher chance of more development in the tank. 47), Kristian Robinson (No. Detroit Tigers2021 midseason rank: 72021 preseason rank: 22020 midseason rank: 22020 preseason rank: 5Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Torkelson (No. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. SS Adrian Placencia (Tier 3), 1. RHP Spencer Arrighetti (Tier 3)9. OF Jackson Chourio (Tier 1)2. C Austin Wells (Tier 1)5. 80), Jordan Balazovic (No. Third-ranked Pittsburghs hard rebuild moved them here. Using Craigs research to value a given FV tier still allows me to express my assessment of and preference for individual players, while also adding some rigor to the system rankings. 32), Emerson Hancock, RHP (No. OF Sal Frelick (Tier 1)3. RHP Sean Burke (Tier 3)9. 43), Walkers ascent to become St. Louis top prospect gives the club yet another slugging-first third-base option behind Nolan Arenado. More , 10. 86), Tyler Stephenson (No. the dollar values are based on a study by FanGraphs that took the expected big league output on average by each tier of prospect . C Jeferson Quero (Tier 3)9. OF Miguel Bleis (Tier 2)5. SS Yiddi Cappe (Tier 3)6. More , 18. 41)Top 2021 rookie: Luis Garcia, RHP, Losing its only Top 100 Prospect (Forrest Whitley) to Tommy John surgery didnt help a system in flux, though the Astros hope OF Pedro Leon (signed in January) will make a quick impact and they can continue to turn anonymous signees into viable big league arms. More , 20. All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. The Rays are still in a tier of their own at the top, with the Padres having fallen away from them due to trades and graduations. RHP Brandon Pfaadt (Tier 1)5. 85), Shane Baz (No. I . OF Ethan Wilson (Tier 3), 1. OF Pedro Len (Tier 3)8. SS Brady House (Tier 2)6. Toronto Blue Jays2021 midseason rank: 142021 preseason rank: 72020 midseason rank: 72020 preseason rank: 16Top 100 Prospects: Gabriel Moreno (No. 3B Tyler Locklear (Tier 3)9. 62)Top 2021 rookie: MacKenzie Gore, LHP, Led by Fernando Tatis Jr. and Chris Paddack, the longtime bountiful Padres system finally began making an impact in the Majors. Cleveland Indians2020 midseason rank: 132020 preseason rank: 14Top 100 Prospects: Nolan Jones (No. 2 in 2007. . OF Samuel Zavala (Tier 1)3. OF Zac Veen (Tier 1)3. In their places, Shane Baz became one of the most promising young arms in the game, Josh Lowe showed enough tools to put himself on the brink of The Show and Taj Bradley led full-season Minor Leaguers in ERA. RHP Jacob Miller (Tier 3)8. 59), There's still room for improvement, but the Oakland system is much more robust than it was a year ago. 11), George Kirby, RHP (No. In Craigs initial series of articles on prospect valuation, the top 100 was given a smooth curve between FVs. Cincinnati Reds2020 midseason rank: 222020 preseason rank: 24Top 100 Prospects: Nick Lodolo (No. International signees such as Jeferson Quero, Hedbert Perez and Jackson Chourio could jump into Top 100 consideration with impressive showings. C Drake Baldwin (Tier 3), 1. RHP Mason Miller (Tier 2)8. RHP Jack Leiter (Tier 1)4. C Joe Mack (Tier 3)9. As players are added to (via the draft or trade) or subtracted from (via trade or graduation) an organization, the Farm Rankings associated with those teams will also update automatically. RHP Quinn Priester (Tier 1)5. The Orioles already have the best farm system in baseball. 10), Austin Martin (No. SS Ambioris Tavarez (Tier 3)9. SS Maikel Garcia (Tier 2)7. OF Dominic Fletcher (Tier 3)10. Right-handers Jack Leiter, Cole Winn and Owen White headline what might be Texas' best group of pitching prospects ever. 92), Taylor Trammell (No. RHP Bubba Chandler (Tier 2)10. Some of that gap, which is mostly caused by Wander Francos unprecedented 80 FV grade and its associated value of $180 million, will close after Brendan McKay and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo graduate, and I think the Friars have more low-level players (Yeison Santana, Hudson Head, Reginald Preciado and Ismael Mena, among many others) who might grow into capital D Dudes than Tampa Bay does (like Alejandro Pie, Jhon Diaz, Abiezel Ramirez, Curtis Mead that might be all), which might also make things close in the next year, depending on how much baseball gets played. by Retrosheet. Toronto Blue Jays2020 midseason rank: 72020 preseason rank: 16Top 100 Prospects: Nate Pearson (No. LHP Matthew Liberatore (Tier 2)7. Individual prospect successes sell jerseys. I mention this because perhaps the biggest flaw in doing farm rankings the way we do is that young, recently-graduated players can drastically alter where an organization lines up on the list. Arizona has strung together some good Drafts over the past couple seasons and the future is starting to look a bit brighter in the desert. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 7:42 AM ET, Park Factors
Armed with a high-octane fastball and a . OF Chase DeLauter (Tier 3)9. 2 Toronto through No. The farm systems that haven't yet had their fresh and thorough annual examination (snaps latex glove) are highlighted in yellow on the Farm Ranking tab, with the asset values of their 2020. To kick things off, David Laurila welcomes Drew Saylor, hitting coordinator for the Kansas City Royals. Ill continue to update the pro lists over the next several weeks, with contenders and likely deadline buyers my priority, since theyre the ones most likely to move prospects. Still, its a credit to the scouting and development groups that Detroit has been able to make quality picks with each of its past three first-rounders Greene (2019), Torkelson (20) and Jobe (21) and develop the first two into Major League-ready contributors. RHP JR Ritchie (Tier 3) 5. OF Drew Waters (Tier 2)4. 24), Oneil Cruz (No. 93), Matt Brash, RHP (No. RHP Reese Olson (Tier 3)10. Texas Rangers2020 midseason rank: 242020 preseason rank: 21Top 100 Prospects: Josh Jung (No. SS Michael Arroyo (Tier 3)10. 4 prospect. 33), George Kirby (No. C Dillon Dingler (Tier 2)9. Gorman already moved to second base to get out of the All-Stars shadow, and depending on how that transition goes, he could assume that role in the Majors quickly in 2022. The Angels have not had the best luck developing middle infield prospects in recent years. OF Gavin Cross (Tier 1)2. 23), Blake Walston (No. OF Colin Barber (Tier 3)10. This makes Erics decision for borderline grade players significant for valuation purposes. Heres an example: I like big-framed, projectable players. 48), Ezequiel Duran (No. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 4 ), Jackson Holliday, SS ( No. The organization has keyed in on top Draft picks, like Adley Rutschman and Heston Kjerstad, while also re-establishing a presence in Latin America. RHP Yosver Zulueta (Tier 2)5. With the calendar flipped to 2023 and spring training fast approaching, it's time for our first MLB farm system rankings of the new year. 88)Top 2021 rookie: Deivi Garcia, RHP, The Yankees system continues to feature a heavy international flavor, led by the ultratalented and ultrahyped Jasson Dominguez and prime Rookie of the Year candidate Deivi Garcia. RHP Tanner Bibee (Tier 2)8. Top 100 Prospects: Kahlil Watson, SS (No. RHP Bryan Mata (Tier 2)7. OF Corbin Carroll (Tier 1)3. 11), Riley Greene (No. After the trade deadline, the Chicago Cubs were among several teams that bolstered. Fourth-ranked Seattle has a top-heavy system with lots of star power, but they and eighth-ranked Detroit lack depth compared to the other orgs in this orbit. 7 despite graduating the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Cavan Biggio in recent years. Error fetching data. 81), The Phillies farm system has slid down our rankings in recent years, but thats not to say its a system devoid of high-end talent -- infielder Stott looks like a future star at the plate who could crack the Opening Day roster, and Philadelphia has invested its top pick in the past two Drafts in a pair of talented right-handers -- Abel and Andrew Painter. RHP Hayden Juenger (Tier 3)9. 2B Nick Gonzales (Tier 2)8. Washington Nationals2020 midseason rank: 302020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Cade Cavalli (No. 8), Luis Campusano (No. LHP Carson Whisenhunt (Tier 2)6. Brett Lawrie / 3B/2B/OF. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 95), Joe Ryan (No. Top 10 Prospects 1. It seems like they are valued more like 42 and 62. SS Jordan Lawlar (Tier 1)2. 65), Atlantas current rank can be attributed to the graduations of talented players making up the core of its 2021 World Series-winning roster and the acquisition of Matt Olson this offseason, which cost the team Shea Langeliers, Cristian Pache, Ryan Cusick and Joey Estes. There isn't a can't-miss prospect in the bunch, but it's a strong top 10, with the top five likely to appear in my top 100 prospects, and there is plenty of talent throughout the system that is waiting for recognition. 5), Emerson Hancock (No. SS Eric Brown Jr. (Tier 3)10. More , 16. 2 overall Adley Rutschman and the best pitching prospect in No. 2B Connor Norby (Tier 3), 1. More , 16. Baltimore Orioles 2021 midseason rank: 1 2021 preseason rank: 5 2020 midseason rank: 8 2020 preseason rank: 13 52), Oneil Cruz (No. But even after all that, the farm system is still among the best in baseball. RHP Owen Murphy (Tier 3)4. Houston Astros2021 midseason rank: 292021 preseason rank: 292020 midseason rank: 272020 preseason rank: 28Top 100 Prospects: none, The Astros place in the bottom three for the fifth straight time, yet that hasn't kept them from appearing in five consecutive American League Championship Series. Remember that as soon as a player exhausts their rookie eligibility, they are scrubbed from their teams list and wont count in these rankings. With Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll atop the list, its easy to get excited about the future outfield. 56), Shea Langeliers (No. The system is ranked among MLB's Top 10 for the first time since 2017. They spanned roughly 260,000 words of analysis and opinion regarding roughly 1,500 prospects and the systems they occupy, plus the tool grade components on The Board. LHP Blake Walston (Tier 3)9. 84), Tyler Freeman (No. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
OF Drew Gilbert (Tier 2)4. 1), Luis Patio (No. 89), The Rangers signed Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to bolster their lineup, and their farm system should give the club a huge boost in the next couple of years. Spoiler alert: You'll notice the same teams that . C Daniel Susac (Tier 2)6. More , 18. Readers have a couple of different options in this area. 76)Top 2021 rookie: Spencer Howard, RHP, Top prospect Spencer Howard hopes to follow in Alec Bohms footsteps as a Rookie of the Year candidate and theres an exciting group of prospects growing at the bottom rungs of the organization, with a lot of emphasis on talent from the international market. Friday, February 18, 2022. This is a very barebones model, but both results are lower than I would have guessed. More , 6. RHP Ben Brown (Tier 2)8. Their successors at No. More , 23. The Carlos Correa signing complicated Royce Lewis' plans to break camp in the bigs, but doesn't make him any less intriguing. RHP Landon Marceaux (Tier 3)8. SS Denzer Guzman (Tier 3)7. Left-handers Aaron Ashby and Ethan Small are knocking on the door. 1 prospect here for the first time in five years, there are a few new names courtesy of the Nolan Arenado deal and theres some young talent several years away thanks to the Rockies long-standing presence in Latin America. C/IF/OF Endy Rodriguez (Tier 1)2. 94), The Dodgers have set franchise records with 106 victories in each of the last two full seasons, wrapped around a World Series title and a franchise mark for winning percentage (.717) in 2020, and they're rolling in terms of signing and developing young talent as well.