fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

June 2, 2016. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They consider how much. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Transcripts by Erin Wade. NEW TOWN . The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. In the main event, former light Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. [00:00:19] The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Saturday, February 25, 2023. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. It's a busy week! Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. 04:58 PM. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. File Upload. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. 266, the . Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. All. . Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. This is the first episode. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Local news is disappearing across the country. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. RSS Loading. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! heritage commons university of utah. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts 3 min read. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. 2,. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Rev. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . By May 21, 2021 0 . Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law.